Year: 2026 | Month: June | Volume: 13 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 351-380
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52403/ijrr.20260636
Development Strategy for Fish Processing MSMEs in Tegal City Using the Delphi–ISM–Prospective Analysis Approach
Iffan Izzul Haq1, Erlyna Wida Riptanti2, Wiwit Rahayu3
1,2,3Master’s Program in Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta, Indonesia.
Corresponding Author: Iffan Izzul Haq
ABSTRACT
Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in the fish processing sector in Tegal City face a production gap compared to large-scale enterprises, despite dominating in terms of the number of business units and employment absorption. This study aims to identify the development factors of fish-processing MSMEs in Tegal City. The research methodology consisted of three phases: (1) validation of relevant factors using a two-round Delphi method involving 10 key informants; (2) development of a hierarchical model using Interpretive Structural Modelling (ISM) and prospective analysis; and (3) formulation of development strategies. Based on 24 initial factors across the economic, environmental, social, institutional, technological, and inclusivity dimensions, the Delphi process resulted in 20 relevant factors that met the consensus threshold of the Average Percentage of Majority Opinions (APMO) and the stability threshold of the Coefficient of Variance (CV). The ISM and prospective analyses revealed a four-level hierarchical structure. Levels 1 and 2 were categorized as dependent variables, characterized by low driving power and high dependence power. These levels consisted of groups of factors that tend to be influenced by factors at lower levels. Level 3 was categorized as linkage variables, possessing both high driving power and high dependence power. At Level 4, the factors were categorized as independent variables due to their high driving power and low dependence power. Furthermore, the researchers formulated 14 alternative strategies based on the results of the ISM and prospective analyses, followed by a Focus Group Discussion (FGD) that produced three-time horizons with different priority levels. The findings contribute to the achievement of SDG 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth) and SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure) through a priority-based and multidimensionally sustainable MSME development approach.
Keywords: Economic Dimension, Environmental Dimension, Inclusivity Dimension, Government Support, Access to Business Financing
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